Live poker ...

Sucks.

I think I have been unhappy the last 10 or so times I played it (over several years now) since I hardly ever play it.

Why? Mostly because it goes extremely slow.
Also, most people smell and are generally stupid.

Will have to practice avoidance.

50-50 club ...

Tried an experiment the last few days.
Will let a screenshot speak for itself. (Yes, that is full ring.)

Actually it was a good experiment and good practice hand reading, but you get into a lot of tricky situations where you have to fold really good hands, and also have to call with really bad hands.
Here was another amazing fold ... LOL FTP (the guy raising the turn was a giant nit).

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Poker Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com
SB ($25)BB ($43.50)Hero (UTG) ($32.62)UTG+1 ($9.45)MP1 ($9.60)MP2 ($10)MP3 ($65.95)CO ($25.35)Button ($19.75)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, 2
Hero bets $0.59, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.59, 1 fold, MP3 calls $0.59, 2 folds, SB calls $0.49, 1 fold
Flop: ($2.61) 7, 4, 8 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.99, 1 fold, MP3 raises to $2.50, SB calls $2.50, Hero calls $1.51
Turn: ($10.11) 3 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP3 bets $5, SB raises to $11.25, Hero folds, MP3 raises to $43.86, SB calls $10.66 (All-In)
River: ($53.93) Q (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $53.93 Rake: $2.69
Results:
SB had 10, A (flush, Ace high).
MP3 had 8, 9 (flush, nine high).
Outcome: SB won $51.24

One outing.

I put two one outer beats on people in the last 2 days.

In return I have been two outed with either 1 or 2 cards to come about 10 times (seriously too painful to review, also usually at the higher limits of NL($1) or NL($2)). I am running below EV in every game at every limit, busting in MTTs, getting coolered on top of the bad beats. The losses have been kept under control, but I can't be wasting all these hours for no money.

Playing micros.

Have hardly played any volume this week, and the majority of my play has been at the micro level, NL($0.25). I have been playing so low due to some stress with my investments, my job, and a lower back injury.

It is quite amusing to watch people stack off with flushes on paired boards, top pair no kicker, and overshove for 20x the pot with AK on KQJ etc. Although this is amusing to watch, I hope to take care of my life distractions and move back up to a limit where I can make more money.

Gross fold.

Here is one of the grossest folds I have made. Most of the problem lies with his raise size, and the effective stack size of 160BB. It felt real dirty, but I think it is correct in this specific situation 90% of the time.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP1 ($19.50)
Hero (MP2) ($80.75)
MP3 ($43.75)
CO ($71.75)
Button ($86.60)
SB ($68.70)
BB ($67.20)
UTG ($67.95)
UTG+1 ($67)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, A
3 folds, Hero bets $1.75, 2 folds, Button calls $1.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($4.25) 10, 4, Q (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, Button calls $2.50

Turn: ($9.25) A (2 players)
Hero bets $4, Button raises to $38, Hero folds

Total pot: $17.25 Rake: $0.85
Results: Button didn't show Outcome: Button won $16.40

Worst day this year.

-$910. 4 buyins at NL($2) and another at NL($1).

Went on tilt after losing a stack AAvKK AIPF again.
Then lost a flip KQs v AA on Kxx with my flush draw (14 outer).

Then had this badly misplayed hand where I lose another stack and get real pissed that this keeps happening.

That ate up about half of my profit this month in about 30 minutes of downswing.

The last $216 MTT.

Lost another $216 MTT (43500 points). A couple 60/40s and the tourney is over. I am done with that nonsense. Nearly $700 in points and medals this month and about 10 hours wasted (1 tabling). Going to spend the points on carte blanche, bonuses, or $26 matrix SNGs if they come back to the lobby.

Ring games have been going pretty well, albeit at the lower limits.

MTT prediction - PAIN.

Just busted in the $216 HORSE after 3 and a half hours as a small favorite in a decent sized pot that I would then cash in the tourney. Now wasted a bunch of medals and points on these ($458 the last couple days). I am thinking of forgetting the tourneys and just using my points on the carte blanche or 1k or 2k bonuses, even though I would lose about 20% of my value.



..............value points value/point rakeback hit net value/point
carte blanche 350... 87500 0.00400..... 94.50...... 255.50 0.00292
$26 token.... 26..... 5800 0.00448...... 6.26....... 19.74 0.00340
$216 FTOPS... 216... 43500 0.00497..... 46.98...... 169.02 0.00389
$1000 bonus.. 1000. 240000 0.00417.... 270.00...... 730.00 0.00304
$2000 bonus.. 2000. 460000 0.00435.... 540.00..... 1460.00 0.00317
$5000 bonus.. 5000. 1100000 0.00455.. 1350.00..... 3650.00 0.00332

Lost my last 4 AAvKK AIPF.

Was feeling unlucky, thankfully the last 3 were at NL($0.25), but 3 times in a row in one day is a little much.

Full Tilt - $1 NL RUSH - Holdem - 9 players
SB: $32.45 BB: $76.75 UTG: $142.95 UTG+1: $100.00 MP: $181.45 Hero (MP+1): $100.00 LP: $139.15 CO: $120.05 BTN: $147.95
SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero has As Ac
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.50, LP raises to $11.00, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $100.00 and is all-in, LP calls $89.00
Flop: ($201.50, 2 players) 8s Kc Qc
Turn: ($201.50, 2 players) 5s
River: ($201.50, 2 players) 6c
Hero shows As Ac (One Pair, Aces) (PreFlop 82%, Flop 14%, Turn 5%)
LP shows Ks Kd (Three of a Kind, Kings) (PreFlop 18%, Flop 86%, Turn 95%)
LP wins $198.50

Full Tilt - $0.25 NL RUSH - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com
LP: $50.26 Hero (CO): $126.53 BTN: $25.00 SB: $31.12 BB: $5.31 UTG: $28.71 UTG+1: $30.29 MP: $51.62 MP+1: $25.15
SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has Ad Ac
fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.80, fold, fold, LP calls $0.80, Hero raises to $3.55, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 raises to $30.29 and is all-in, fold, Hero calls $26.74
Flop: ($61.73, 2 players) 6c 2s 9c
Turn: ($61.73, 2 players) Kd
River: ($61.73, 2 players) 2c
Hero shows Ad Ac (Two Pair, Aces and Twos) (PreFlop 82%, Flop 92%, Turn 5%)
UTG+1 shows Kh Kc (Full House, Kings full of Twos) (PreFlop 18%, Flop 8%, Turn 95%)
UTG+1 wins $58.73

Full Tilt - $0.25 NL RUSH - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com
CO: $49.39 BTN: $58.42 Hero (SB): $25.15 BB: $12.99 UTG: $9.75 UTG+1: $15.48 MP: $51.39 MP+1: $27.00 LP: $19.66
Hero posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has As Ad
fold, fold, MP raises to $0.50, fold, LP raises to $0.75, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.00, fold, fold, LP raises to $5.25, Hero raises to $16.50, LP raises to $19.66 and is all-in, Hero calls $3.16
Flop: ($40.07, 2 players) 3d Ts Qd
Turn: ($40.07, 2 players) Jc
River: ($40.07, 2 players) Ac
Hero shows As Ad (Three of a Kind, Aces) (PreFlop 82%, Flop 91%, Turn 86%)
LP shows Kh Ks (Straight, Ace High) (PreFlop 18%, Flop 9%, Turn 14%)
LP wins $38.07

Full Tilt - $0.25 NL RUSH - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com
UTG+1: $21.75 MP: $24.24 MP+1: $16.89 LP: $20.00 CO: $59.22 BTN: $7.55 SB: $50.84 Hero (BB): $60.60 UTG: $25.32
SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has Ad Ah
fold, UTG+1 calls $0.25, MP raises to $1.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $4.25, fold, MP raises to $24.24 and is all-in, Hero calls $19.99
Flop: ($48.83, 2 players) Ks 8s 3h
Turn: ($48.83, 2 players) 4d
River: ($48.83, 2 players) 2d
MP shows Kc Kh (Three of a Kind, Kings) (PreFlop 18%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows Ad Ah (One Pair, Aces) (PreFlop 82%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
MP wins $46.39

2 dummies drawing dead.

The hand is rare that 2 guys go allin on the flop drawing dead, but what is also funny is how bad both of them misplayed their hand with their bet sizings, both preflop and flop.

In other news, ran and played well today, +6 BI, and my reads were spot on snap-calling 2 river bets with AK no pair, because I read their hands perfectly.

Exact coin flip.

It is rare that an allin on the flop is exactly 50/50. Usually it is close like 52/48 or something. Intuitively I thought that my allin with top 2 would be a favorite here, but I was wrong. I won the $400 pot (9s making both of our hands, fading the 2 out redraw), putting me above EV for the first day this month.

Holdem: 990 enumerated boards containing Js 7s 9c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Jh 9h 495 50.00 495 50.00 0 0.00 0.500
Qs Ts 495 50.00 495 50.00 0 0.00 0.500

I guess all hands in holdem really are 50/50.

Monster Pot.

Got my butt handed to me at NL($1) for 5.5 buyins. Got coolered a bunch of times and KKvAK and KKvQQ AIPF losses to retarded backraise 5-bet lines and such. Also was experimenting with a 5x open, it did not work out too well. I was doing 6x at NL($0.50) which seemed to work well.

So what do we do when we lose a bunch of buyins. Move up to chase losses :). Won $1800 at NL($4), mostly due to this 550BB monster pot here:

Profit $12 - Rake $1920.

Obviously I am now a pro at NL($0.50) since I profited $12 and can move up. Only 10 buyins below EV, and keeping my 6 day streak of being below EV alive.

Here is a perverted hand, small pot so do not get too excited.

I wanted to fold the river but he priced me in.

Taking into consideration the guy plays super straightforward, he has to have quads. AK would bet flop, KK or QQ would bet turn. Against most players I would lose a lot more here.

Different day - Same beats.

Another day of the same bad beats AJvJT on Jxx, 88vKQvKJ on 8xKQ, AJvA3s on AJx .... another 120 of EV. Been well below EV for 4 days straight. Did a cashout 4 days ago. Hmmm... I am going to run a correlation on my cashouts vs my EV when I get the time (probably never).

Again...

Again another $150 below EV today. Too lazy and pissed to post graph since I ended up down ~$500.

Lost QQ, QQ, KK to A8s today. flush, 888, and flush.

Not sure if I should take a shot at high limits with the rest of my money online, keep trying to grind, or just forget it and cash it all out. Have won 0/5 sessions so far this month.

Another day at FTP.

I am not going to last much longer like this. 3 times AK vs AQ ... Another 200 of EV at the micros...

Considering closing up my poker activities again.