Ok FTP you win.

I guess FTP doesn't want me to play or something. I got demoralized as mentioned in my last post, so I reverted to playing the 40BB ($20 at NL($0.50)) for a little. So here is 5 "buyins" of EV in an hour.

Let's not trivialize how ridiculous this is. That is:

TTvAKs allin on KTx, backdoor flush.
QQvJJ AIPF.
QQvKQ allin on JT6.
AKvQQ AIPF.
QQvTT AIPF.
AQvKQ AIPF.
66vAQ AIPF.

I should also mention that I had KK 7 times, went to flop 4 times - 3 of which had an Ace. Maybe I should just play SNGs.

Demoralized: 30 day results.

The month still has another day, but I have time to write a summary now. I don't know why I focus on the negative, maybe that is just my personality. I will get to the somewhat decent monthly results in a minute. However, will start with what is in my foremost mind, that I am net down 10 buyins at NL($0.50) over 40k hands, 8 buyins of AIEV. However, that is not the real pain. I keep running top 2 into bottom set heads-up on the flop (3 times), many other coolers flush vs flush, flush vs set that hits, set vs draw that hits, guys calling small pairs to huge 3-bets and getting set vs overpair etc. etc. etc. I have made a few bad plays too costing me about 3-4 buyins at NL($0.50). Anyhow ...

+2700 full ring 115k hands
+1325 rakeback
+ 100 micros/6-max 25k hands
+ 130 SNG using 23k points for tickets
+ 145 MTT using 23k points for tickets
- 240 Stud H/L, PLO
+ 375 ironman bonus
+ 100 holiday bonus
+ 100 purchased bonus 28k points
net: ~$4700

When looking at it like this I am reasonably happy, even thought it is not as good as "everyone else" ... but I guess I am a noob and not pro.

I also have unrealized value in rakeback(300), likely rake race leaderboard(180), ~500 medals earned at $0.20 ea.(100), 100k net points at ~$3/1000 after rakeback reduction(300), for a total unrealized value of 880.

Here is the table and graph for the month.

Hopefully I can get some skills to beat NL($0.50) next month.

--AAA-- R U SERIOUS!

AAA top set is no good because there is a problem.
7% or 15% equity is automatic.

Seriously, this is wearing me out.

Do not bluff.

I forgot this lesson at some point. I just got snapped off 3 river bluffs when I had the nut flush blocker. I guess I have to start overshoving for value because idiots keep calling every time. I just went on a 10 buyin downswing at NL($0.50), only a few buyins under EV, like a full stack allin AQvAT on A52 etc, but kept getting top 2 vs a set (twice), sets snapped off by bad draws (twice), missing big combo draws (twice), set under set, overpair vs set, etc.

Here is one of my awesome plays, I like two jack off-suit.

Lastly, I am purging the hands below from my new database (that I started in 2011). I will probably not play those levels again (super micros and 6-max). To keep a record the table and graph are below. That is 25k hands of pain! To be fair a lot of it was when I was trying to practice 8 and 12 tabling RUSH, which did not work out.

The green line is always below the yellow line!

400 hands of NL($4) ...

This is an awful lot of big hands in 400 hands. I guess the first one was a mistake in retrospect, especially considering KJ had me good, I was hoping for the overpair and the flush draw vs my top two. You can observe the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th hands to see why I am a pimp G not losing my whole stack with monster-like hands (ie. this is not my first time playing online poker).

1) Top 2 vs bottom set vs probably a flush draw. -$400.

2) Set under set. -$180.

3) AA vs OESD. -$160.

4) Set vs the backdoor automatic hits every time draw. -$80.

One winner that saved me. (besides holding AKvAQ AIPF for +$300)

5) Set over set. +$640.

I quit as a small loser on the day, because of the previous post -350 NL($1), and +200 in NL($4). I probably shouldn't have quit since I was in upswing mode and I hate to quit in upswing mode, but it is real late, would hate to go back on a downswing, I can't really handle the variance of NL($4) - pretty stupid!, and am having a few medical problems and need my sleep.

Getting very suspicious ...

Getting very suspicious here, angry, and also tired of this nonsense. This should not happen as often as it is happening (short 1 hour session).






There are several more, but I am out of energy.

Back to 'normal' :(

Only got allin for a full stack with cards to come twice.

33vAA on 32T... A. 11% equity, but his play is real bad based on how the action went.
78vKJs on 456... flush. 33% equity, but his play is real bad not even drawing to the nuts.

Also, got coolered twice, flush vs flush and full house vs full house. I guess the universe is back to normal now that I am 3 BI under EV in 1k hands.

Lost to some other 2 outers and such in small pots as well. Also lost half a stack with AKvKK on Kwxyz. Getting annoyed.

Oh I forgot I also tried to bluff someone off an overpair(KK) on some gross board that had a 4 card straight and it didn't work.

Played bad and won?

My session yesterday was fairly short, but it was a session where I played bad and won. This is my rarest type of session and I did not feel too good about it. In some weird way I did not like that I played bad and won ... I am much more used to playing good and losing. In terms of frequency my sessions are:

1. Played good and won.
2. Played good and lost.
3. Played bad and lost.
4. Played bad and won.

Most of my session was just plain spew where I would 3-bet light, then donk a full pot bet on the flop and get called and give up. My 3-bets are getting called too much, so I am just going to stop 3-betting as often. This spew wasted a lot of money, but was saved by the two biggest hands where I was above AIEV which were QQvAA allin on a low card flop for 60BB where I binked a queen, and AKvQQ AIPF in blind vs blind for 105BB.

The AKvQQ was a thinker, I 3-bet in the BB from 3 to 9, and got 4-bet to 25. I knew he had a premium hand and it is questionable to ship it here, but I figure I am more live than normal, but I don't know if that is overweighted by the fact that he will have AA more often. I don't really know if this is correct here because I did not think I was ever way ahead when I shipped here.

With no information I am the normal 11-9 dog here.

pokenum -h ac kh - qd qh
Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ac Kh 736843 43.03 968234 56.55 7227 0.42 0.432
Qd Qh 968234 56.55 736843 43.03 7227 0.42 0.568

However, I believe there is information to be had by everyone folding to the blinds, this makes it slightly better, 13-12 dog I guess, but I intuitively I thought it would be even closer.

pokenum -h ac kh - qd qh / 2d 3h 4c 5s 6d 7h 8c 9s th
Holdem Hi: 575757 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ac Kh 273053 47.43 300610 52.21 2094 0.36 0.476
Qd Qh 300610 52.21 273053 47.43 2094 0.36 0.524

Hands - Understand?

1) I get soul read? I think the guy misplays every single street, but the river turned out ok for him I guess.
http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/NL-Holdem-Poker-Hand-89-MP2-1297110.php
2) A psychic calling two allins with ATs?
http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/NL-Holdem-Poker-Hand-KK-CO-1297111.php
3) A guy that can't fold KK? If there is ever a case for folding KK it is when reg 1 (me) raises with JJ, decent reg 2 reraises (QQ?), somewhat nitty reg cold 4-bets (AA) ... 5-bet shove allin or just fold and lose $1, cmon KK. I have a strong feeling that it was JJvQQvKKvAA, but can't see the guy who folded cards. Seriously what can the guy cold 4-betting have if you have KK, when there are 6 combos AA and only 2 combos AKs.
http://www.handhistoryconverter.com/NL-Holdem-Poker-Hand-JJ-MP1-1297112.php

Deleterious Rake.

Of course the numbers will depend on your style, even though I am using MGR instead of actual rake to make it more generalized (my personal numbers for rake is 1.1x MGR).

Rake of 1 buyin per:

$2 NL RUSH - 2700 hands.

$1 NL RUSH - 2100 hands.

$0.50 NL RUSH - 1800 hands.

$0.25 NL RUSH - 1700 hands.

$1 NL RUSH(6-max) - 1500 hands.

$0.50 NL RUSH(6-max) - 1300 hands.

$0.25 NL RUSH(6-max) - 1300 hands.

$0.10 NL RUSH(6-max) - 800 hands.

As you can see the lower level you play the rake hurts your winrate that much more. Also, 6-max rake is a lot more hurtful than 9-max. This is obvious anyway, but it is kind of surprising that if you are playing 1000 hands per hour, you are losing about a buyin every 2 hour session in rake, depending on the level.

In other unrelated news, I cleaned up my $0.50 NL RUSH (6-max) graph, and quitting 6-max now that I am up. The invisible man can keep my 8 BI of EV, FTP can keep my 10 BI of rake, and I will have to be happy to keep is 2 BI. I am done losing allin preflops in 6-max with AAvAK etc. ... etc. ... etc. ...

Retarded 6-max.

I hadn't played 6-max all year until 2 days ago, and then I had joined the tables on accident. Before I knew I was playing 6-max, I was allin with KJ vs J8s on a KJx board with 2 spades and a stack was gone and I was hooked into 6-max to try to "get even".

Then there are dozens of other hands like this one below that make no sense, but are not reflected in the AIEV because I put the remainder of the stack in bad. ... Not that AIEV is doing well either in NL($0.50)(6-max).

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Full Tilt Poker Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com
UTG ($19.40)
MP ($46.25)
CO ($119.80)
Button ($29.60)
Hero (SB) ($74.40)
BB ($53.05)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 8, A
4 folds, Hero bets $1, BB raises to $3.50, Hero calls $2.50
Flop: ($7) 4, A, 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $4, Hero raises to $11, BB calls $7
Turn: ($29) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $18.50, BB raises to $38.55 (All-In), Hero calls $20.05
River: ($106.10) K (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $106.10 Rake: $3
Results:
Hero had 8, A (two pair, Aces and eights).
BB had 5, 3 (straight, five high).
Outcome: BB won $103.10

More FTP rewards!

FTP just added more rewards, 3x points for a 1500 average, and 4x points for a 3000 average.

Unfortunately, I am a bit late because my average dropped to 2800 and I can't keep the 3000 average unless I move back up in limits (can't play more hours). These rewards equate to about an extra $300 a month for each level, assuming earning approximately 60k base FTP per month.

The year is going pretty good so far, and have to think about moving back to the higher limits and possibly go up from 4 tables to 6 or 8. To do this I would have to purchase HEM or another copy of PT3 and start playing on my desktop instead of my laptop, to utilize my 30" monitor.

Interesting hand.

I thought it was interesting because the guy who flopped the nuts actually had the least equity 3-ways (29% v 36% v 36%).

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Poker Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com
CO ($47.85) Button ($63.75) SB ($50.25) BB ($93.30) Hero (UTG) ($50) UTG+1 ($25.75) MP1 ($50) MP2 ($109.25) MP3 ($65.15)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J, J
Hero bets $1.50, 2 folds, MP2 calls $1.50, 1 fold, CO raises to $4, 3 folds, Hero calls $2.50, MP2 calls $2.50
Flop: ($12.75) 10, J, 8 (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks, CO bets $4, Hero raises to $46 (All-In), MP2 calls $46, CO calls $39.85 (All-In)
Turn: ($148.60) 2 (3 players, 2 all-in)
River: ($148.60) K (3 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: $148.60 Rake: $3
Results:
Hero had J, J (three of a kind, Jacks).
MP2 had A, Q (flush, Ace high).
CO had 9, Q (straight, King high).
Outcome: MP2 won $145.60

CO shows 9d Qd (Straight, King High) (PreFlop 13%, Flop 29%, Turn 0%)
Hero shows Jd Jc (Three of a Kind, Jacks) (PreFlop 50%, Flop 36%, Turn 24%)
MP+1 shows As Qs (Flush, Ace High) (PreFlop 37%, Flop 36%, Turn 76%)

I knew it...

Something is wrong when you can check-call with top full (3rd nuts) because you put the other guy on quads and are correct. Too bad I couldn't fold. Wasn't a great day for many other silly hands as well.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com MP2 ($103.60) MP3 ($109.75) CO ($104.90) Button ($43) SB ($64.50) Hero (BB) ($160.10) UTG ($398.95) UTG+1 ($180.60) MP1 ($133.85)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, J
UTG calls $1, 7 folds, Hero checks
Flop: ($2.50) Q, 8, J (2 players)
Hero bets $2, UTG raises to $4, Hero calls $2
Turn: ($10.50) J (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $7, Hero raises to $31.50, UTG calls $24.50
River: ($73.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $38.50, Hero calls $38.50
Total pot: $150.50 Rake: $3
Results:
Hero had Q, J (full house, Jacks over Queens).
UTG had 8, 8 (four of a kind, eights).
Outcome: UTG won $147.50