Tuesday, November 30, 2010

December will be better.

December should be a better month for poker results. I think I have had losing Novembers 4 out of the last 6 years. Considering that I usually only have a net loss in ~2 months/year, November is a pretty bad month for me.

Also for the paranoid readers: I believe the neural network that determines who wins and who loses gets reset at each new month period.

Short day today?

Because this is totally realistic. Same table back to back hands, AQvQJ AIPF, KKvAK AIPF. I am going to play another session in a little bit after I cool off, but seriously this is getting out of control, another 180 of EV towards the regfish coffers.
Edit: The next session lasted only 80 hands. I can't post the bad beat per my previous directive, but let's just say I stacked a short stack, then lost with a monster blind vs. blind. Ended the stake, and also the grind at FTP. Will try to get at least something from the RUSH promo and then spend all my full tilt points on tournaments or something.

Every Day.

This is what every day looks like. When I first started back at FTP a few months ago I was about 2500 above EV. Now I am about 4500 below EV. That is a swing of between 35-70 buyins below EV in just over a month. That equates to 70-140 coin flips. I am about ready to give it up.

This graph doesn't even show the coolers like when I have 98 and the other guy has KQ and he bets into 3 people on AT7 and of course the magic Jack comes and what can I do but go broke.

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Stake Phase II (Week 10).

Played some NL($1) and recovered about $1k of the stake balance. I ran bad once again which broke my confidence, so I started buying in for 40BB, but not leaving the table when I am running good because of my lucky table theory. However, I doubled up a couple times once and then got the dreaded AAvAK and lost a full stack again. So much for the lucky table theory. The 40BB led to another problem, I lost 9 allin preflops in a row.

Anyhow, this week is RUSH week and at least I will get some money($250) in my pocket and not just be working on makeup. You need 1000 points per day and that equates to about 1600 hands of NL($2) full ring which is about 1.5 hours of 4 tabling if you are paying attention. Hopefully this promotion will attract some dead money.

I am going back to a mix of NL($1) and NL($2). Also, I will be playing less 6-max because I haven't been running well on the AIPFs which happen a lot more in 6-max. I am hoping to makeup as much of the stake balance for the staker before the end of the year. I may not play poker next year, or at the very least I am not going to grind like I have been grinding.

Phase 1 results: $3898.92 profit each, ~109k hands, ~113 hours.
Week 1 results: $617.25 profit each, 27408 hands, 27 hours.
Week 2 results: $2210.82 profit each, 35502 hands, 43 hours.
Week 3 results: $2153.80 profit each, 33679 hands, 45 hours.
Week 4 results: $695.65 profit each, 19058 hands, 24 hours.
Week 5 results: $2944.05 loss carryforward, 19381 hands, 24 hours.

Week 6 results: $1633.85 loss carryforward, 24690 hands, 29 hours.
Week 7 results: $65.35 toward makeup, 20232 hands, 25 hours.
Week 8 results: $2618.55 loss carryforward, 17784 hands, 21 hours.
Week 9 results: $1003.75 toward makeup, 37449 hands, 42 hours.
total loss carryforward:$6127.35, stake balance: $1872.65.

Week 10
M 11/29: -$784.20, 5198 hands, 5.4 hours.

T 11/30: -$277.50, 1051 hands, 1.3 hours.
Returned remaining $810.95 to the staker.
The grind is over.

Friday, November 26, 2010

MTT stake final results.

Not too shabby, but no big scores. Cancelled the tourney tomorrow and returned the funds, because I can't be sitting so many hours like this in a row. The USA-COOPs seem to have great overlays so part of me still wants to play.

Date..... Tournament...... Game Buyin Entries Rank Prize
26 Nov 10 USA COOP-07......NLHE $320..655.....62...$930
26 Nov 10 USA COOP-06..... HRFL $320 .314.....264..$0
21 Nov 10 FTOPS Main Event NLHE $640. 5023... 300. $1235
20 Nov 10 FTOPS Event #31. RZFL $322. 443.... 236. $0
13 Nov 10 FTOPS Event #7.. 7LFL $216. 500.... 51.. $500
12 Nov 10 FTOPS Event #4.. HRFL $216. 789.... 80.. $442

Thursday, November 25, 2010

Sick laydown.

I can't remember the last time I folded KK preflop in 6-max.
But here is the beauty from today.
The guy I thought had AA, had AA.

Full Tilt - $1 NL RUSH (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com

BB: $357.45
Hero (UTG): $80.60
MP: $153.50
CO: $48.05
BTN: $277.35
SB: $131.60

SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero has Ks Kc
Hero raises to $3.00, MP raises to $10.00, fold, fold, SB raises to $23.00, fold, fold, MP calls $13.00
Flop: ($50.00, 2 players) Qd 6c 6s
SB bets $21.00, MP calls $21.00
Turn: ($92.00, 2 players) 8h
SB checks, MP bets $21.00, SB raises to $87.60 and is all-in, MP calls $66.60
River: ($267.20, 2 players) 7s

MP shows Qc Qs (Full House, Queens full of Sixes) (PreFlop 19%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
SB shows Ah Ac (Two Pair, Aces and Sixes) (PreFlop 81%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
MP wins $264.20

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Bad attitude.

I have had a real bad attitude lately about poker, and I have to believe that is somewhat hurting my results. I took the same KKvQQ beat as a 7-1 favorite that I posted in my last post, this time for a full stack. The hand history is below this post, and it will be the last bad beat I am posting this year.

I just need to change my perspective. Whether I win or lose now, I am not really winning or losing. The stake has such high negative balance, ie. "70 stacks of low society" whether I win or lose during a given session it is not going to affect me financially. I am happy to continue playing for the staker, well 1. to be nice, and 2. I still at least get to keep my rakeback and other promotional monies.

I thought I was going to be on a huge heater, was up 5 buyins and if I won this pot then 6 buyins, oh well only 4 buyins for now. The reason that anyone can make money in poker is that one gets the money in good almost every time.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com
BB ($174.35) Hero (UTG) ($184.45) UTG+1 ($100.85) MP1 ($235.30) MP2 ($105.05) MP3 ($208.15) CO ($110.25) Button ($113) SB ($190.50)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, K
Hero bets $3, 4 folds, CO raises to $10.50, Button calls $10.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $7.50
Flop: ($33) 4, 2, 9 (3 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $24, 1 fold, Hero raises to $48, CO raises to $99.75 (All-In), Hero calls $51.75
Turn: ($232.50) 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)
River: ($232.50) Q (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $232.50 Rake: $3
Results:
Hero had K, K (one pair, Kings).
CO had Q, Q (three of a kind, Queens).
Outcome: CO won $229.50

Moving down.

Moving down in the stake to NL($1) to rebuild confidence. That being said here are my 3 biggest losing hands during the session. At least I still won, because I held AAvKK and SETvOESD allin. Surprise, surprise, all three of my biggest losing hands were bad beats that were allin as 7-1, 3-1, and 3-1 favorite. All 3 were against "solid" regulars. The 3 regulars are supposedly winners, but actually they are @#$%: RAW_FORCE, Skilgannon1, and some other guy. Seriously I think something is up but what can I do. Why is it always for only a half of a stack? Because it is at an unlucky table and I keep getting stacked at it.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com UTG+1 ($100) Hero (MP1) ($48.85) MP2 ($104.90) MP3 ($100)
CO ($104.55) Button ($65) SB ($87.20) BB ($100) UTG ($112)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K, K
2 folds, Hero bets $3, MP2 calls $3, MP3 calls $3, 4 folds
Flop: ($10.50) 3, J, 2 (3 players)
Hero bets $7, MP2 raises to $19, 1 fold, Hero raises to $45.85 (All-In), MP2 calls $26.85
Turn: ($102.20) 10 (2 players, 1 all-in)
River: ($102.20) Q (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $102.20 Rake: $3
Results:
Hero had K, K (one pair, Kings).
MP2 had Q, Q (three of a kind, Queens).
Outcome: MP2 won $99.20

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com
MP2 ($16.65)Hero (MP3) ($41.85)CO ($100)Button ($106.20)SB ($111.85)BB ($108.75)UTG ($118.95)UTG+1 ($101.25)MP1 ($114.85)
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K, A
4 folds, Hero bets $3, CO raises to $9, 3 folds, Hero raises to $15, CO raises to $100 (All-In), Hero calls $26.85 (All-In)
Flop: ($85.20) 6, 10, 6 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Turn: ($85.20) 9 (2 players, 2 all-in)
River: ($85.20) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: $85.20 Rake: $3
Results:
Hero had K, A (one pair, sixes).
CO had 9, A (two pair, nines and sixes).
Outcome: CO won $82.20

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com
SB ($80.50)Hero (BB) ($36.65)UTG ($309.10)UTG+1 ($25.25)MP1 ($41.50)MP2 ($67.50)MP3 ($45.45)CO ($109)Button ($106.60)
Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A
4 folds, MP3 bets $4, 1 fold, Button raises to $13.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $36.65 (All-In), 1 fold, Button calls $23.15
Flop: ($77.80) 7, 8, J (2 players, 1 all-in)
Turn: ($77.80) 9 (2 players, 1 all-in)
River: ($77.80) 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $77.80 Rake: $3
Results:
Button had A, 10 (straight, Jack high).
Hero had K, A (high card, Ace).
Outcome: Button won $74.80

Monday, November 22, 2010

16 buyin session.

It was NL($0.50), but I am still very happy about it. The following hand illustrates the theme of the session. (ie. the best hand won.) I won 7 full stacks and never lost a full stack. I won 9 half stacks and only lost 3 half stacks.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com Hero (UTG+1) ($240.15) MP1 ($50) MP2 ($8.85) MP3 ($91.95) CO ($71.15) Button ($17.65) SB ($64.25) BB ($50.50) UTG ($32.75)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A, 7
UTG bets $1, Hero raises to $1.50, MP1 calls $1.50, MP2 calls $1.50, 5 folds, UTG calls $0.50
Flop: ($6.75) 8, 10, 3 (4 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks
Turn: ($6.75) 2 (4 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks
River: ($6.75) 8 (4 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks
Total pot: $6.75 Rake: $0.30
Results:
UTG had Q, J (one pair, eights).
Hero had A, 7 (one pair, eights).
MP1 had J, K (one pair, eights).
MP2 had 6, 5 (one pair, eights).
Outcome: Hero won $6.45